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All NASA Contracts — February 05, 2026

All NASA Contracts

2 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

NASA's two contracts totaling $266.7M highlight sustained commitment to long-duration space R&D, with bullish execution in Agile Decision Sciences' $102.7M Science Mission support (90% outlayed) signaling revenue stability for parent Arctic Slope Regional Corporation. Neutral signal for Southwest Research Institute's $164M Pluto Mission due to nonprofit status and low 15% outlay despite 27-year term. Investors gain from government-backed stability in space sector but face limited equity upside and execution risks in cost-plus structures.

Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior All NASA Contracts digest from February 04, 2026.

Investment Signals(3)

  • High execution in Science Mission peer review(HIGH)

    90% outlay ($90.2M of $102.7M) on 5.5-year contract indicates reliable revenue progression and potential $16M options exercise.

  • Long-term Pluto Mission funding locked in(MEDIUM)

    27-year $164M obligation provides stable R&D revenue through 2029, though only 15% outlayed limits near-term impact.

  • Divergent outlay rates signal disbursement uncertainty(HIGH)

    Agile at 90% outlay contrasts SwRI's 15%, highlighting potential delays in long-term NASA missions.

Risk Flags(2)

  • Execution[HIGH RISK]

    Low outlay (15%) in 27-year Pluto contract and subaward dependence ($28.9M in Agile) risk delays or cuts.

  • Market[MEDIUM RISK]

    Nonprofit status caps investor returns despite stable funding; cost-plus-fee exposes to oversight.

Opportunities(2)

  • $16M combined unobligated options in both contracts, plus Agile's 8(a)/ANC status for future NASA bids.

  • NASA's long-term commitments (to 2029) in deep space R&D and mission support amid rising space economy.

Sector Themes(2)

  • Contracts spanning 5.5-27 years with $266.7M total underscore predictable funding in space engineering and admin services.

  • 8(a)/ANC firms like Agile secure full/open deals with strong execution, diverging from neutral nonprofits.

Watch List(2)

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"Arctic Slope Regional Corporation", "reason"=>"Parent of high-execution Agile contract with $16M options and set-aside tailwinds.", "trigger"=>"Option exercise or new NASA awards by July 2026"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"Southwest Research Institute", "reason"=>"$164M obligation with low outlay risks funding cliffs through 2029.", "trigger"=>"Outlay acceleration >20% or mission delays"}

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